The latest analysis by ForwardKeys shows that flight bookings to Qatar from the 31 countries competing in the football World Cup, and from the UAE, where many fans are basing themselves during the tournament, are currently 10-times the volume of pre-pandemic levels.
The data is based on issued flight tickets, including day trips, as of 29th September, for travel to Qatar between 14th November and 24th December (the event runs from 20th November to 18th December). The benchmark is travel in 2019, except for the UAE, where the benchmark is 2016, owing to the Qatar diplomatic crisis, which stopped direct flights between Qatar and the UAE between 2017 and 2021.
In terms of growth, the source market set to perform most strongly during the World Cup period is the UAE; currently, bookings are ahead by 103 times the volume of 2016! It is followed by Mexico, ahead by 79-times the 2019 volume; Argentina, ahead by 77x; Spain, ahead by 53x; and Japan, ahead by 46x. The UAE’s strong showing is explained by a shortage of accommodation in Qatar. Many people are expected to stay in the UAE and fly over for the day, on match days. Currently, day trips account for 4% of all arrivals in Qatar during the World Cup, 85% of which originate in the UAE.
Despite the requirement to present a negative Covid-19 test to enter Qatar, the popularity of the tournament is such that there were millions of searches online for flights to Qatar during the first nine months of this year. 12% of them were for journeys originating in the UAE, 12% from the USA, 7% from Spain, 7% from India, 6% from the UK, and 6% from Germany.
The tournament is set to benefit the whole Gulf region, as flight bookings to GCC countries (the Gulf Cooperation Council comprises Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia) during the competition are currently 16% ahead, and, for the initial stages, 61% ahead.
Further analysis reveals that many World Cup visitors are also travelling to other destinations in the region. For example, the number staying at least two nights in Qatar and going on to stay at least two more nights in another GCC country is 16-times greater than it was before the pandemic in 2019. Dubai is the biggest beneficiary of this trend by far, capturing 65% of onward visits. The next most popular onward destination is Abu Dhabi, with 14%, followed by Jeddah (8%), Muscat (6%) and Madinah (3%).
The most important origin market for these ‘regional tourists’ is the USA, which is responsible for 26% of them. It is followed by Canada, with 10%, the UK with 9%, and France, Mexico & Spain, each with 5%. For example, for Dubai, the most important component is American, comprising 32%; however, for Abu Dhabi, it is Australian, comprising 11%.
As global events go, the FIFA World Cup is one of the most attractive drivers of travel there is – so much so that other destinations in the Gulf will benefit, not just the host nation, Qatar. In tourism promotion terms, the World Cup will throw a media spotlight on Qatar and help it become a more established destination, and not just a major hub for intercontinental air traffic.
Normally, just 3% of travel to Doha is destined to stay in the country; and 97% comprises onward connections. However, during the World Cup almost 27% has Qatar as the ultimate destination. The UAE will also benefit substantially from the tournament because it has much more hotel accommodation than Qatar, and two global hub airports in Dubai and Abu Dhabi.
ForwardKeys creates comprehensive ticketing data, covering the globe from online bookings to travel agencies and airlines. From ticketing data to seat capacity and total air market (TAM) the variety of datasets gives tourism organisations, hotels and retailers a 360° view of the travel ecosystem.