Global airline passenger capacity will surpass 2019 levels in October


The latest Aviation Industry Barometer from aviation consultancy, IBA, predicts that global passenger ASKs (available seat kilometres) will surpass 2019 levels by October 2023, having reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023.

IBA’s key travel figures from June are as follows:

  • Although monthly global passenger capacity reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023, this is a fall of -1% compared to May 2023.
  • In June, operators from Africa, North and Latin America surpassed pre-pandemic capacity, while operators in APAC, Europe and the Middle East lagged slightly behind, albeit recovering steadily.
  • Passenger ASKs from Chinese operators are trending at 89% of 2019 levels, a steady increase from 82% at the end of Q1 2023.
  • In June 2023, 2.82 million commercial passenger flights were recorded, compared to 2.81 million in May 2023, and 2.41 million flights in June 2022.
  • 388,000 commercial passenger flights were recorded by Chinese operators, compared to 397,000 in May 2023 and 207,000 in June 2022.
  • For deliveries, there were 141 commercial aircraft delivered in June 2023, representing a month-on-month and year-on-year variance of +15% and +23%, respectively.
  • June saw the highest number of new-generation narrowbody deliveries this year, with 102 aircraft, shared between the Airbus A320neo and Boeing 737 MAX.
  • During the first half of 2023, Airbus A320neo deliveries averaged at 45 per month, compared to 35 per month for the Boeing 737 MAX.
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