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Opinion

Global airline passenger capacity will surpass 2019 levels in October

Opinion WritersBy Opinion WritersJuly 11, 20232 Mins Read
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A four-engined airplane taking off at dusk
Image: Adobe Stock

The latest Aviation Industry Barometer from aviation consultancy, IBA, predicts that global passenger ASKs (available seat kilometres) will surpass 2019 levels by October 2023, having reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023.

IBA’s key travel figures from June are as follows:

  • Although monthly global passenger capacity reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023, this is a fall of -1% compared to May 2023.
  • In June, operators from Africa, North and Latin America surpassed pre-pandemic capacity, while operators in APAC, Europe and the Middle East lagged slightly behind, albeit recovering steadily.
  • Passenger ASKs from Chinese operators are trending at 89% of 2019 levels, a steady increase from 82% at the end of Q1 2023.
  • In June 2023, 2.82 million commercial passenger flights were recorded, compared to 2.81 million in May 2023, and 2.41 million flights in June 2022.
  • 388,000 commercial passenger flights were recorded by Chinese operators, compared to 397,000 in May 2023 and 207,000 in June 2022.
  • For deliveries, there were 141 commercial aircraft delivered in June 2023, representing a month-on-month and year-on-year variance of +15% and +23%, respectively.
  • June saw the highest number of new-generation narrowbody deliveries this year, with 102 aircraft, shared between the Airbus A320neo and Boeing 737 MAX.
  • During the first half of 2023, Airbus A320neo deliveries averaged at 45 per month, compared to 35 per month for the Boeing 737 MAX.
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