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Insight: Boeing drove 2025’s aircraft delivery recovery

Stuart Hatcher, chief economist and chief data officer at IBABy Stuart Hatcher, chief economist and chief data officer at IBAJanuary 8, 20262 Mins Read
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Boeing aircraft deliveries in 2025 increased 69% year-on-year over 2024, and were 16% above deliveries in 2023, marking a significant recovery and helping stabilise global aircraft production.

IBA analysis shows that Boeing delivered 537 aircraft in 2025 (including 737/767 military units), compared to 318 at the same point in 2024, as production and delivery performance continued to normalise. Four additional737 MAXs were delivered by the end of the first week of December, with a further 110 built and 74 of those already test flying.

The improvement in delivery numbers has been supported by progress in clearing previously built inventory, and improvements in delivery timelines. Average first-flight-to-delivery time fell to 37 days in 2025, excluding just 27 units, which exceeded 365 days.

This compared with 47 days for the sub-365-day aircraft group in 2024, supporting stronger cash flow for Boeing. FAA approval to increase the 737 MAX monthly production rate from 38 to 42 is expected to further underpin output going forward.

Airbus delivered 657 commercial aircraft and five A400Ms through the end of November 2025, with 15 further deliveries observed in the first week of December. While deliveries remain broadly stable year-on-year, BFE & engine availability have held up deliveries in 2025, leading Airbus to revise its full-year target from 820 to 790 units.

By early December, the target for 133 aircraft appeared highly likely as 15 had been delivered, 105 were in flight test, 38 more were fitted with engines, and 127 units had left the factory and were awaiting engines to feed first quarter 2026 output.

Other OEM performance was mixed in 2025. Embraer increased deliveries year-on-year to 66 aircraft, up from 55 in 2024, while ATR and COMAC recorded year-on-year declines, delivering 18 and 29 aircraft, respectively, despite substantial backlogs.

Looking across the market as a whole, total aircraft production in 2025 is projected to reach 1,520–1,530 units across Airbus, Boeing, Embraer, ATR and COMAC, covering passenger, VIP and military variants based on commercial platforms. This places output broadly in line with 2014 levels, but still below the 2018 peak of 1,770 units.

Overall production levels remain below historical peaks, but analysts note that continued delivery discipline and sustained demand are supporting a firm market outlook across both narrowbody and widebody segments.

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Stuart Hatcher, chief economist and chief data officer at IBA

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